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	<title>STAND &#187; war</title>
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	<description>The student-led movement to end mass atrocities.</description>
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		<title>STAND&#8217;s Ten Conflicts to Watch in 2018</title>
		<link>https://standnow.org/2018/01/22/stands-ten-conflicts-to-watch-in-2018/</link>
		<comments>https://standnow.org/2018/01/22/stands-ten-conflicts-to-watch-in-2018/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jan 2018 17:52:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Justin Cole]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Burma]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[As 2018 begins, STAND is reflecting on the challenges of the last year, which included Zimbabwe’s rapid overthrow of former President Robert Mugabe, global attention towards an economic crisis and...<a class="moretag" href="https://standnow.org/2018/01/22/stands-ten-conflicts-to-watch-in-2018/"> Read more…</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">As 2018 begins, STAND is reflecting on the challenges of the last year, which included Zimbabwe’s rapid overthrow of former President Robert Mugabe, global attention towards an economic crisis and food shortage in Venezuela, and rising tensions between North Korea and the United States. Many known cases of mass atrocities persisted, such as ethnic cleansing of the Rohingya in Burma, ongoing atrocities against civilians in Syria, and a horrific humanitarian crisis in Yemen, caused in large part by Saudi Arabia’s blockade on major ports in the country. We at STAND want to provide a thorough analysis of conflicts to watch in 2018. Although it was difficult to choose only ten conflicts, and watchers may notice areas such as Mali, Venezuela, and Iraq missing from this list, we hope that our “Ten Conflicts to Watch” give you, our fellow activists, a starting point from which to advocate for civilians around the world who will no doubt continue to endure violence and instability this year.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2>1. Burma</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">After insurgents from the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) </span><a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-41082689"><span style="font-weight: 400;">attacked Burmese security </span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">forces on August 25, 2017, the Burmese military launched a scorched-earth assault against Rohingya Muslim civilians in Rakhine state. During a brutal military campaign that the United Nations has classified as a “textbook example of ethnic cleansing,” a position that has been echoed by U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, the military has burned hundreds of villages and systematically killed and raped thousands of Rohingya civilians. Many of the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/13/world/asia/myanmar-rohingya-bangladesh-refugees.html?mtrref=www.google.com&amp;gwh=B859D022250D94D52E271292964B436D&amp;gwt=pay"><span style="font-weight: 400;">650,000 Rohingya refugees</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> who fled into Bangladesh to escape the violence are in danger of starvation and disease. Many more remain trapped in what are essentially concentration camps within Burma. Even in the midst of this catastrophe, however, the government of Burma recently </span><a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/12/myanmar-bars-human-rights-envoy-yanghee-lee-171220145600876.html"><span style="font-weight: 400;">banned Yanghee Lee</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, a special investigator from the United Nations, from investigating human rights violations in Burma, and Aung San Suu Kyi, the de facto civilian leader of Burma, has largely remained silent on the plight of the Rohingya. As the Rohingya continue to suffer in host countries such as Bangladesh and Malaysia, and feel it is unsafe to return to Burma, continued international pressure, including a reimposition of sanctions by the United States and global partners, is vital to address these atrocities.</span></p>
<h2>2. Central African Republic</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In the second half of last year, the humanitarian situation in the Central African Republic deteriorated significantly as the central government remained unable to exercise meaningful authority outside of the capital of Bangui. Already one of the poorest countries in the world, most of the country is controlled by armed groups fighting over valuable resources, such as cattle and diamonds. Since the cycle of violence began again in 2013, more than one million civilians have been </span><a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/11/14/un-shouldnt-fail-central-african-republic"><span style="font-weight: 400;">forcibly displaced</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, and today more than half of the population relies on </span><a href="https://reliefweb.int/report/central-african-republic/half-population-central-african-republic-dire-need-humanitarian"><span style="font-weight: 400;">humanitarian aid</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> to survive. Unfortunately, thousands have been unable to obtain such aid because it is too dangerous for non-governmental organizations to operate in many areas of the country. Without increased assistance to the Central African Republic, focusing on both emergency assistance and support for building sustainable political, economic, and legal institutions, instability and atrocities against civilians will undoubtedly continue.</span></p>
<h2>3. South Sudan</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">A ceasefire signed by President Salva Kiir’s government and several opposition groups on December 21 was </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/new-fighting-near-south-sudan-capital-violating-cease-fire/2018/01/05/f611c284-f22a-11e7-95e3-eff284e71c8d_story.html?utm_term=.32dc40af77eb"><span style="font-weight: 400;">broken within hours</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. The ceasefire intended to revive a previously signed peace deal that collapsed earlier last year after fighting between government and rebel forces erupted in the capital of Juba. Neighboring countries involved in the negotiations, as well as the United States, have threatened to punish those who violate the ceasefire, but it is unclear whether such pressure will be sufficient to deter the parties, particularly because it is unclear how exactly South Sudan would be punished. Meanwhile, the people of South Sudan face a vast humanitarian crisis; nearly four million have been forcibly displaced, and seven million will not survive without </span><a href="http://interactive.unocha.org/emergency/2017_south_sudan/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">humanitarian assistance.</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> Maintaining the ceasefire and working towards a sustainable political solution will be crucial in order to ameliorate this crisis and end the ethnic violence that has persisted throughout the past year.</span></p>
<h2>4. Sudan</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Though the United States lifted economic sanctions on Sudan in October, the human rights record of President Omar al-Bashir’s government remains abysmal. Last June, the United Nations began to reduce the size of its peacekeeping force in Sudan, yet violence against civilians by government forces and armed militias remains prevalent. Approximately one-third of the population of Darfur remains displaced, and many remain concerned for their safety and livelihoods, particularly in the midst of a disarmament process that could </span><a href="https://nubareports.org/darfur-disarmament-local-leaders-fear-more-war-than-peace/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">reignite violence</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> in the region. Additionally, </span><a href="https://reliefweb.int/report/sudan/sudan-humanitarian-bulletin-issue-28-18-31-december-2017"><span style="font-weight: 400;">millions of people</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> are in desperate need of humanitarian assistance in Darfur, the Nuba Mountains, and Blue Nile. Both short-term and long-term efforts are necessary to end atrocities that continue to be committed in Sudan.</span></p>
<h2>5. Yemen</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The civil war in Yemen, which has now lasted more than one thousand days, only worsened near the end of 2017. Saudi airstrikes continue to target civilians and violence rages between Houthi rebels, pro-government forces, local militias, and Islamic State fighters. More than seven million civilians are at risk of starvation, partially due to a </span><a href="https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/yemen-brink-worlds-biggest-famine-11490401"><span style="font-weight: 400;">blockade</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> of Yemeni ports by Saudi Arabia. Although the key port of </span><a href="https://www.voanews.com/a/cranes-yemen-hodeidah-port/4208781.html"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Hodeidah was reopened</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> on December 20, Saudi Arabia promised to leave it open for just thirty days; after that, there is no guarantee that aid will continue to arrive. Additionally, nearly one million people have been infected with </span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2017/oct/12/yemen-cholera-outbreak-worst-in-history-1-million-cases-by-end-of-year"><span style="font-weight: 400;">cholera</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. This epidemic has been exacerbated by the destruction of hospitals and water supply facilities, and the blockade of ports that made it impossible for remaining hospitals to access electricity. Observers have indicated that there is neither a military nor a humanitarian solution to this crisis; thus far, however, peace talks have failed to make significant progress.</span></p>
<h2>6. Burundi</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In December, President Pierre Nkurunziza threatened citizens of Burundi to support a referendum that would permit him to remain in power until 2034. He declared that any attempt to sabotage the referendum would be a </span><a href="http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2017/12/13/545510/Burundi-Nkurunziza"><span style="font-weight: 400;">“red line.”</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> Extrajudicial killings and torture continue to be used against political opponents, and the regime has also cracked down on the media. Although Nkurunziza has insisted that it is safe for refugees to return to Burundi, a recent report by Amnesty International found that many </span><a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2017/09/burundi-thousands-of-refugees-under-pressure-to-return-despite-risk-of-torture-and-killings/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">risk death, sexual violence, or torture</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> upon their return. In order to guarantee lasting peace in Burundi, the political impasse must end. All efforts to alter the constitution in Burundi have only led to increased violence. </span></p>
<h2>7. Democratic Republic of the Congo</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The humanitarian situation worsened significantly last year in the Democratic Republic of Congo, as President Joseph Kabila continually delayed elections, “implement[ing] a deliberate </span><a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/11/09/resolving-political-crisis-dr-congo"><span style="font-weight: 400;">‘strategy of chaos’</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> through orchestrated violence,” which has displaced and killed thousands of civilians. The United Nations recently classified it as a </span><a href="https://reliefweb.int/report/democratic-republic-congo/horrific-living-conditions-people-displaced-congo"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Level 3</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> emergency, placing the country on par with Syria, Yemen, and Iraq. Violence rages in various provinces, particularly Kasai, Tanganyika, and South Kivu. Armed groups have burned villages, killed and raped civilians, and forcibly recruited child soldiers. Even as </span><a href="https://reliefweb.int/report/democratic-republic-congo/millions-face-severe-hunger-drc-funding-crisis-threatens-delivery"><span style="font-weight: 400;">13 million</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> people require humanitarian assistance, the world has provided minimal financial support. In December, </span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/dec/08/peacekeepers-killed-in-attack-on-un-base-in-dr-congo"><span style="font-weight: 400;">15 peacekeepers</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> from the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO) were killed, and the suspected killer of two United Nations </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/30/world/africa/congo-united-nations-zaida-catalan-michael-sharp.html?mtrref=www.google.com&amp;gwh=7F23E149352C8B8CD2000A39BBC1DA4B&amp;gwt=pay"><span style="font-weight: 400;">experts was arrested.</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> Protests </span><a href="https://mobile.nytimes.com/2018/01/21/world/africa/democratic-republic-of-congo-protests.html"><span style="font-weight: 400;">against Kabila’s extension of power</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> continue, killing 6 last week. Without greater international commitment, the political instability in the country will likely continue to fuel mass atrocities.</span></p>
<h2>8. Ethiopia</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Outbreaks of ethnic violence between the Oromo, who are predominantly farmers, and Ethiopian-Somalis, who are predominantly pastoralists, have displaced hundreds of thousands of civilians in Ethiopia. Tensions have been exacerbated because of the ongoing drought, which has contributed to economic insecurity and increased the risk of malnutrition throughout the country. Near the end of the year, anti-government protests regarding the marginalization and oppression of opposition groups emerged. Ethiopian military forces have responded by killing </span><a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/12/dozens-killed-clashes-ethiopia-oromia-region-171218140529256.html"><span style="font-weight: 400;">dozens of protesters.</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> These tensions are likely to worsen in 2018 if the causes of these protests remain unaddressed.</span></p>
<h2>9. Nigeria</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Although the Nigerian military has regained control of most of the territory once controlled by Boko Haram, the crisis in northeastern Nigeria has not ended. Millions of people are desperately in need of humanitarian aid, and as the military pulls back from the countryside to </span><a href="http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/12/03/new-boko-haram-strategy-focuses-on-fortress-towns-in-nigeria.html"><span style="font-weight: 400;">fortify</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> their control over cities and towns, many citizens living in rural areas are left vulnerable to attacks by Boko Haram. The Nigerian military has also been accused of various human rights abuses, including sexual abuse and arbitrary detention. In addition to the struggle against Boko Haram, there has also been renewed violence in the Niger Delta committed by militants expressing their displeasure with the lack of development assistance provided to the region by the Nigerian government.</span></p>
<h2>10. Syria</h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In the past year, due to extensive support by allies Russia and Iran, ineffectiveness of Syrian rebel groups, and a lack of U.S. diplomatic engagement, President Bashar al-Assad has consolidated control over much of Syria, making implementation of the </span><a href="http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/01/08/dancing-to-russias-tune-in-syria/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Geneva process</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, which would require the installation of a transitional government, far less likely. Instead, the Syrian government is meeting in Russia as part of the Sochi talks, which has </span><a href="http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/01/08/dancing-to-russias-tune-in-syria/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">alarmed opposition groups</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. The opposition fears these talks will only allow Assad to solidify his control of Syria. Government forces recently killed dozens of civilians in </span><a href="https://www.dailysabah.com/syrian-crisis/2017/12/04/assad-regime-airstrikes-kill-20-civilians-in-eastern-ghouta"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Eastern Ghouta</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> during a military offensive against the Idlib province, the largest remaining rebel stronghold, demonstrating a willingness to continue bombing civilian infrastructure and a reliance on siege tactics to seize and hold territory. They also have continued to block humanitarian assistance to territory held by rebel groups. If the United States continues its current policy trajectory—wherein it focuses solely on terrorism while ignoring the civil war—Assad will be able to solidify his control in Syria, which will likely result in increased atrocities.</span></p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p><b><a href="https://standnow.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/justin.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-8058" src="https://standnow.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/justin-150x150.jpg" alt="justin" width="150" height="150" /></a></b></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><b>Justin Cole </b><span style="font-weight: 400;">is the Policy Coordinator for STAND: The Student-Led Movement to End Mass Atrocities, and a senior at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, where he is earning his degree in economics and peace, war, and defense.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Let’s Rein in Our Exported War</title>
		<link>https://standnow.org/2013/05/06/5377/</link>
		<comments>https://standnow.org/2013/05/06/5377/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 May 2013 14:14:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sonia Sen]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Regions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cartels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drug]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mexico]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war on drugs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://standnow.org/?p=5377</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This post was written by Natasha Bell, from George Washington University STAND. For more about cartel violence in the context of mass atrocities, check out our blog post from September 2012.  An...<a class="moretag" href="https://standnow.org/2013/05/06/5377/"> Read more…</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>This post was written by <b>Natasha Bell</b>, from George Washington University STAND. For more about cartel violence in the context of mass atrocities, check out </i><a href="http://www.standnow.org/blog/mexicos-cartel-violence-case-study-logic-mass-atrocities"><i>our blog post from September 2012</i></a><i>. </i></p>
<p>An estimated<a href="http://www.hrw.org/sites/default/files/reports/mexico0213webwcover.pdf"> 60,000 Mexicans that have lost their lives due to drug violence in the past 6 years.</a>  Another<a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57571423/mexico-drug-war-has-led-to-26121-disappearances/http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57571423/mexico-drug-war-has-led-to-26121-disappearances/"> 26,000 people have been reported missing</a> and<a href="http://www.internal-displacement.org/countries/mexico"> 140,000 have been displaced from their homes</a>. The deaths, disappearances, and displacements are only the surface of the entrenched problems that plague our neighbor to the south.  The conflict in Mexico has corrupted the entire country.  It has seized control of the country out of the hands of the government and put it into the hands of criminals.  This inextinguishable conflict has come to dominate Mexico. The drug cartels are powerful enough to control the entire country of Mexico because they are the heads of a multi-billion dollar industry. <a href="http://www.ice.gov/doclib/cornerstone/pdf/cps-study.pdf"> U.S. consumers funnel between 19 to 29 billion dollars into the hands of Mexican cartels</a> to fill our demand for illicit drugs.  It is estimated that<a href="http://www.cfr.org/mexico/mexicos-drug-war/p13689"> 95% of cocaine travels through Mexico into the United States and 40-67% of marijuana</a> in the US comes from Mexico.  The U.S. demand for illegal drugs makes drug trafficking a profitable business in Mexico.  Consequently, it is U.S. dollars that fund the conflict. U.S. responsibility for this conflict does not end there.  The weapons that enact the violence also have strong American ties. Huge supplies of guns are arriving in Mexico both through legal and illegal means.  Mexico is now the largest recipient of weapons through “<a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-500202_162-57337289/legal-u.s-gun-sales-to-mexico-arming-cartels/">direct commercial sales</a>.”  This is a U.S. government policy that sells weapons to the Mexican military.  Many of these weapons are being diverting into the hands of the cartels.  Additionally due to lax border control, guns purchased in the U.S. are easily smuggled into Mexico. Around<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/06/14/mexico-drug-war-seized-guns_n_876653.html"> 70-90% of the weapons</a> confiscated from Mexico originate in the U.S.</p>
<p><img alt="" src="http://standnow.org/files/mexico%20drug.jpg" width="300" height="194" align="left" />Americans are filling the hands of cartel members with both money and weapons: all the necessary ingredients to perpetrate mass violence on innocent Mexican civilians.  There is no denying the close ties the U.S. has as both a funder and facilitator of the violence that is destroying the lives of an entire nation. Currently two of the hottest debates in the U.S. are about the legalization of marijuana and gun control.  But is the crucial connection to Mexico a loud voice in the dialogue? When we talk about legalization of drugs we talk about things like medical marijuana, the cost of incarcerating harmless drug users, and the potential tax revenue.  I want to know why we don’t talk about the fact that our black market demand for drugs feeds the violent drug wars in Mexico.  After the historic legalization of recreational use in Colorado and Washington in 2012, talk and support for legalization are at all time highs.  Let’s make Mexico a part of this conversation!  Let’s pump up marijuana users to promote peace while promoting drug legalization! Shouldn’t be a hard sell, right? Similarly, when we talk about gun control policy Mexico is not considered.  The media focuses on mental health and second amendment rights but very rarely does anyone point out how our gun policies are enabling the killing of thousands of innocent people in Mexico.  The horrors of isolated events like the Aurora or Newtown shootings shock and capture the attention of our nation and spark national debate about safety and regulation.  Unfortunately, violence is a pervasive reality of the everyday lives of Mexicans, and this too is enabled by American gun policy. We as Americans have a direct responsibility for what is going on in Mexico.  The drug wars in Mexico are an exported American conflict that would not exist without the U.S.  As a nation we are having policy debates right now that have the potential to greatly improve the future of Mexico.  Our ties and responsibility to this conflict are inescapable.  Fortunately, we have the power to limit the vitality of the conflict as well.  Let’s not let Mexico be forgotten.</p>
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